congressional race in florida where the electorate was so polarized and majority of the voters are simply won't vote for one of the candidates, that yeah i expect that kind of race to be very tight. but i think i know who's going to win. it's a little different situation in this presidential race. the race has certainly tightened. and think, yeah, the debate did create a very different political environment. look, for three weeks, mitt romney got hammered from the democratic debate through the talk about the 47%, his taxes, and the like. and with a bad debate performance. if the president won the first presidential debate, clearly, i think the presidential race would have been all but over. but the debate has changed the narrative, the discussion, and moved some poll numbers, and i grant you, this is not a dramatic change, but it is an important change though it's small, i think the race is very, very competitive once again. >> jonathan capehart, i want to bring you in on this.